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-   -   Corona Virus (https://www.aspkin.com/forums/everything-else/132987-corona-virus.html)

james13v 03-23-2020 07:40 AM

Re: Corona Virus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by JamesNorth101 (Post 1079321)
All the bodies are being incinerated so that’s not going to be possible

which all bodies? The ones that are sick? Or just anyone that died?

ebaystealth1974 03-23-2020 12:14 PM

Re: Corona Virus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by agent006140 (Post 1079167)
well,Bestbuy is shutting down its stores,

We just went and picked up a curbside order. They out there wearing protection gear. You show your license, then pull up to a certain number, park. they go fetch your stuff.

ebaystealth1974 03-23-2020 12:16 PM

Re: Corona Virus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by james13v (Post 1079175)
Can we please stop using Italy as an example. 99% of those who died, had other illness. Half, suffered from at least three prior illness and a fourth had 1 or 2 previous conditions. More than 75% had high blood pressure and 35% had diabetes and a third had heart disease. Average age of death was 81. No other country will have the same situation as Italy.


Haha... I read the EXACT SAME study. :)

ebaystealth1974 03-23-2020 12:22 PM

Re: Corona Virus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by dan_ebay (Post 1079179)
I'm not talking about how many died, I'm talking about how many are still getting infected despite Italy being on quarantine for around 2 weeks.

Yesterday, they had ~150 less new cases than the day before. Let's hope it starts to level off some.

ebaystealth1974 03-23-2020 12:45 PM

Re: Corona Virus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by james13v (Post 1079185)
I'd bet good money that WAY more young people are getting it than old people, but we will never know that, unless we test literally everyone. Which will never happen.

As of last week, here is the breakdown of age and cases. I'm sure the current trend is roughly the same.

0–19 (123)
20–44 (705)
55–64 (429)
65–74 (409)
75–84 (210)
≥85 (144)

james13v 03-23-2020 01:58 PM

Re: Corona Virus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by ebaystealth1974 (Post 1079371)
As of last week, here is the breakdown of age and cases. I'm sure the current trend is roughly the same.

0–19 (123)
20–44 (705)
55–64 (429)
65–74 (409)
75–84 (210)
≥85 (144)

Of the ages and cases, tested and confirmed. How many of the 0-44 have it, and no one will ever know, because they aren't likely to be affected by it??? How many have already had it? How many of the normal cold and flu cases the past few months, were this? Unless we test everyone, AND test foe the antibodies to confirm if they EVER had it, all these numbers are just guessing games.

ebaystealth1974 03-23-2020 02:06 PM

Re: Corona Virus
 
Those ARE the confirmed cases, as of a week ago. Not sure what you mean.

We are WAY ahead of those numbers now lol

james13v 03-23-2020 02:08 PM

Re: Corona Virus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by ebaystealth1974 (Post 1079388)
Those ARE the confirmed cases, as of a week ago. Not sure what you mean.

We are WAY ahead of those numbers now lol

That's my point. We are only talking confirmed, and the only ones confirmed, are the ones being tested. And the only ones being tested, are the ones showing symptoms. So, unless we test everyone, we will never know how many actually have it and how many had it. And the ones least likely to be tested, are younger people, as they are the least likely to be affected by it in the first place, nor the ones worried enough about it to fight for a test. Which is why I said, there are probably twice as many young people that have it.

ebaystealth1974 03-23-2020 02:12 PM

Re: Corona Virus
 
Oh. Yeah, definitely.

ebaystealth1974 03-23-2020 02:41 PM

Re: Corona Virus
 
Our Death Rate in the US seems to be significantly lower than the global rate (1.2% versus the Global 4.3%), so I've started making my own graphs of the growth factor with JUST the US numbers. To show only what is happening here in our own Country.

The graph below DOES NOT contain the numbers from the last 2 days, since we had a dip then a huge spike from NY. I wanted to see the trend from the last 2 weeks of data, here.

The average Growth Factor is 1.36 (excluding the last 2 days), which equals 40x multiplication every 12 days. Unfortunately, that means 1,660,000 cases by April 4th. And, honestly, it'll probably be more, with the way these cases are popping up.

Hopefully, we peak SOON!

We want to be BELOW ONE, which means less and less deaths every day.

https://i.imgur.com/OkweUHI.png

james13v 03-23-2020 02:42 PM

Re: Corona Virus
 
the more widespread the testing, the lower the rates will be. So the more we ramp up into this, the lower rates will be.

ebaystealth1974 03-23-2020 02:43 PM

Re: Corona Virus
 
Regarding the graph...

1 = consistent daily growth ( EXAMPLE: 1000 each day)
2 = a doubling each day, which would be horrible...

james_112233 03-23-2020 04:23 PM

Re: Corona Virus
 
UK's Shutdown after tonights announcement from the prime minister.

JamesNorth101 03-23-2020 04:26 PM

Re: Corona Virus
 
Yep pretty hardcore announcement tonight. Interesting times.

phaz0rz 03-23-2020 04:30 PM

Re: Corona Virus
 
You guys allowed to ship packages?

Or is "for work" only people who work a 9-5?

USA won't be far behind you.

JamesNorth101 03-23-2020 04:33 PM

Re: Corona Virus
 

walkingupwards 03-23-2020 04:47 PM

Re: Corona Virus
 
UK members, will you be able to ship and use the Royal Mail services or not?


SOLVED:

https://www.royalmail.com/d8/coronavirus-domestic

ukjay 03-23-2020 04:53 PM

Re: Corona Virus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by walkingupwards (Post 1079424)
UK members, will you be able to ship and use the Royal Mail services or not?

well i get my gas and lecky on keys which i need to top up at the post office so i will be posting at the same time so have to see how it goe's

ebaystealth1974 03-23-2020 05:56 PM

Re: Corona Virus
 
Great news just in from Italy... 2nd consecutive day of less cases than the day before!


6557
5560
4789 (unless a late increase comes in after hours)

quizmaniac 03-23-2020 06:16 PM

Re: Corona Virus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by tinsoldier (Post 1079425)
that announcement is 3 days old....

Might be different tomorrow.

Think it might limit the post too essential items only, not that it would be easy too enforce but we will see.

james13v 03-23-2020 07:24 PM

Re: Corona Virus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by ebaystealth1974 (Post 1079435)
Great news just in from Italy... 2nd consecutive day of less cases than the day before!


6557
5560
4789 (unless a late increase comes in after hours)

problem is, the second remove the lock down, it will just start back again. And if they continue the lockdown, there won't be a country left once they are done. All those retirees that survived, will have nothing left to live on.


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