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-   -   Corona Virus (https://www.aspkin.com/forums/everything-else/132987-corona-virus.html)

ebaystealth1974 02-29-2020 08:06 PM

Re: Corona Virus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by phaz0rz (Post 1073704)
At this pace there will be over 100k cases outside of China within 12 days.

Never gonna happen. Pace slows once outbreak begins.


Quote:

Originally Posted by walkingupwards (Post 1073743)
The R0 (reproduction rate) of this virus is still unknown due the recent nature of this outbreak, 3+% wouldn't surprise me at all.


R-naught values aren't expressed as a percent. Just an FYI



Quote:

Originally Posted by phaz0rz (Post 1073746)
An R0 somewhere closer to that range makes more sense to me, given the exponential spread we've been seeing every time Covid starts taking off in a new region.

Let's hope their estimate is wrong.

I can't imagine there being a better chance of this virus spreading than with the people on that cruise ship. And it seems like they came up with something around an R0 of 2-3.

walkingupwards 03-01-2020 08:40 AM

Re: Corona Virus
 
I don't think all people on that cruise ship got tested. I would love to know if central Africa has cases or not, that would tell us how hot weather will affect this virus. Nigeria has reported 1 case so far, but I am not sure if that's due to lack of testing or what!

I just want this thing to disappear and business to go back to normal :-/

phaz0rz 03-01-2020 09:41 AM

Re: Corona Virus
 
It spread so badly on the cruise ship because of the pseudo-quarantine that was setup. There were no proper red/green zones on the ship once cases started to increase so a rapid spread was inevitable.

Dr. Kentaro Iwata (an infectious disease specialist who is a professor at Japan's Kobe University) posted a video on Youtube a week or two ago describing the disaster of a situation on that ship. He was forced by the Japanese government to leave the ship despite being the most qualified person to deal with the outbreak. The Japanese government put bureaucrats in charge of dealing with the situation rather than medical professionals and the results were disastrous.



direct link - youtube.com/watch?v=z7QUKFF2wS0

phaz0rz 03-01-2020 09:49 AM

Re: Corona Virus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by agent006140 (Post 1073877)
------------
who is THey>
You keep talking about THEY??

He's referring to the small group of powerful individuals and/or organizations responsible for pushing the "new world order" agenda, wherein the entire world will eventually speak 1 common language and be ruled by 1 totalitarian government based in a certain middle eastern country.

I'm not necessarily saying I agree with that particular interpretation, but I'm pretty sure that's the group he keeps alluding to. :nerd:

walkingupwards 03-01-2020 09:56 AM

Re: Corona Virus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by agent006140 (Post 1073877)
------------
who is THey>
You keep talking about THEY??


The ones who will throw your ass in jail if you don't pay your taxes.

The ones who decide when your country will go to war and why.

The ones who blew 100+ billions dollars on biological warfare programs without you knowing anything about it.

The ones who destroyed the economy of your country and built China with your tax money.


Dots connecting by now?

ebaystealth1974 03-01-2020 10:31 AM

Re: Corona Virus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by phaz0rz (Post 1073880)
He's referring to the small group of powerful individuals and/or organizations responsible for pushing the "new world order" agenda, wherein the entire world will eventually speak 1 common language and be ruled by 1 totalitarian government based in a certain middle eastern country.

I'm not necessarily saying I agree with that particular interpretation, but I'm pretty sure that's the group he keeps alluding to. :nerd:

I've been hearing about the NWO since the 80s. I guess they are just taking their sweet time.

walkingupwards 03-01-2020 10:44 AM

Re: Corona Virus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by agent006140 (Post 1073889)
please do not talk with your mouth full-
American consumers have done a great job making China rich,there are more billioniares in China than anyplace else,thanks to the relentless usage of MC,VISA,DISCOVERY,AMEX by US.
LOOK around your house,ask yourself,must you have this pair of sneaker,hoodies, ipod,iphone,microwave oven,tv set in each room,electric can opener,toaster oven,wall clocks,even down to scissors,needles and threads.



These things used to be made where the consumer is. So you don't want to see these jobs come back or what? Ooh I forgot, Obama said they can never come back :bump:

There is a hidden price for the cheap Chinese stuff you buy at your local Walmart.

ebaystealth1974 03-01-2020 10:58 AM

Re: Corona Virus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by tinsoldier (Post 1073904)
do you mean the 1380's. :laugh:


Hey, I'm not THAT old! :lol:

phaz0rz 03-01-2020 11:05 AM

Re: Corona Virus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by ebaystealth1974 (Post 1073901)
I've been hearing about the NWO since the 80s. I guess they are just taking their sweet time.

A project of such a large scale would take a long time to put into place. The public has to be slowly convinced that one world government is in their best interests through decades of senseless and mostly artificial conflicts. It really started taking off as WW2 was coming to an end.. and it's been steadily progressing since then.

Just my take. :pop2:

Pandoras_box 03-01-2020 12:58 PM

Re: Corona Virus
 
It took over 200,000 years of human history for the world's population to reach 1 billion, and only 200 years more to reach 7 billion. If you think there are a group of people meticulously steering the world affairs, you must also agree that they have been asleep at the wheels.

Governments oppress their citizens.
Political parties spend too much time disagreeing.
Corporations are so corrupt and greedy its sickening.
Groups and people increasingly disagree on almost everything.
Countries have nuclear weapons pointed at other countries. Only mutually assured destruction has ensured peace.

When everyone in a room has a gun pointed at the other person's head; clearly, no one is in charge.

Some are looking for a father-figure to blame for the world's troubles, so they came up with the Illuminati.
Others are looking for a grandfather figure to save us, and they've come up with god.

As Carl Sagan would say, "Better by far to embrace the hard truth than a reassuring fable."

walkingupwards 03-01-2020 01:20 PM

Re: Corona Virus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pandoras_box (Post 1073941)
Some are looking for a father-figure to blame for the world's troubles, so they came up with the Illuminati."

The Illuminati is real, the Bilderberg group is real and the NWO is real too :doh:

Pandoras_box 03-01-2020 01:26 PM

Re: Corona Virus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by walkingupwards (Post 1073948)
The Illuminati is real, the Bilderberg group is real and the NWO is real too :doh:

Exist or existed? Probably yes.
In control of the planet? No.
The planet is rudderless - and that's more devasting for me.

ebaystealth1974 03-01-2020 04:06 PM

Re: Corona Virus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by phaz0rz (Post 1073907)
A project of such a large scale would take a long time to put into place. The public has to be slowly convinced that one world government is in their best interests through decades of senseless and mostly artificial conflicts. It really started taking off as WW2 was coming to an end.. and it's been steadily progressing since then.

Just my take. :pop2:

I feel like there are people who WANT it to happen, but it never will. There have never been more mindless sheeple than there currently is. What are they waiting on?

phaz0rz 03-01-2020 08:32 PM

Re: Corona Virus
 
3/1/20 chart of cases outside of China, for posterity's sake:

https://i.postimg.cc/hPw9406H/Untitled-1.png

6.8k yesterday, 8.5k today. Something like 1200 new cases in South Korea alone over the last 12 hours.

aspkin 03-02-2020 02:15 AM

Re: Corona Virus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by phaz0rz (Post 1074025)
3/1/20 chart of cases outside of China, for posterity's sake:

https://i.postimg.cc/hPw9406H/Untitled-1.png

6.8k yesterday, 8.5k today. Something like 1200 new cases in South Korea alone over the last 12 hours.

I think China has it figured out and will soon have it under control.

The rest of the world doesn't have the power china has and won't be able to control the virus as well.. if the summer heat doesn't stop the virus, things could go bad quick.

walkingupwards 03-02-2020 04:48 AM

Re: Corona Virus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by aspkin (Post 1074050)
I think China has it figured out and will soon have it under control.

The rest of the world doesn't have the power china has and won't be able to control the virus as well.. if the summer heat doesn't stop the virus, things could go bad quick.


According the numbers published by the Chinese government, the virus has peaked already. However, there is still a chance it will rebound when people start going back to schools and work. Hopefully hot temperatures will make this virus disappear soon :smash:

ebaystealth1974 03-02-2020 08:01 AM

Re: Corona Virus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by phaz0rz (Post 1074025)
6.8k yesterday, 8.5k today. Something like 1200 new cases in South Korea alone over the last 12 hours.

12 hours? Your chart looks like 3-day intervals.

phaz0rz 03-02-2020 08:18 AM

Re: Corona Virus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by ebaystealth1974 (Post 1074146)
12 hours? Your chart looks like 3-day intervals.

They are daily updates. There are multiple data points between each of the dates listed along the bottom.

I said 12hrs instead of 24hrs because I'd been watching the numbers grow throughout the day yesterday.

This is the source of the chart I've been posting, if anyone's curious: https://gisanddata.maps.arcgis.com/a...23467b48e9ecf6

https://i.postimg.cc/brzhsQXf/1.png

ebaystealth1974 03-02-2020 11:59 AM

Re: Corona Virus
 
Ahhh, I see!

prodigyace 03-02-2020 12:17 PM

Re: Corona Virus
 
Would make sense if the virus stopped spreading as much and is actually peaking. These numbers are people who most likely had it for weeks and its now showing the symptoms.

I really do hope its over before summers end like aspkin said, or we could have a real worldwide problem on our hands.

ebaystealth1974 03-02-2020 12:49 PM

Re: Corona Virus
 
Dropped my ole lady off at the airport this morning. Shes says masks are EVERYWHERE! I don't blame them.(regardless if they are effective, or not!)

Pandoras_box 03-02-2020 01:16 PM

Re: Corona Virus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by tinsoldier (Post 1074091)
That would be ace!

So how does the virus following the recognised demise model of others fit into your looney tunes conspiracy theory? Isnt this supposed to be part of the New Order, Joy Division, Blue Monday or whatever, masterplan to rule the world :pound:

Good point, now just wait for a comeback comment that'll make you want to put your head in an aeroplane toilet and flush it!
:coffee:

tmastermind 03-02-2020 01:29 PM

Re: Corona Virus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by tinsoldier (Post 1074239)
Poor show Illuminati, poor show indeed.

More like Illuminutty

On a serious point though I knew it would spread world wide its a case of just waiting it out and ride the wave now there won’t be anything stopping it. it’s a poor show from governments and institutions to curtain the spread.

Hopefully give it a month or two and things should start to get back to normal and the markets normalise.

walkingupwards 03-02-2020 01:45 PM

Re: Corona Virus
 
China closed the 1st out of 16 hospitals in Wuhan that treated COVID-19 patients.

Hopefully it is now under control in China, otherwise they wouldn't have closed that hospital.

The cost of this virus raging on any further will be a disaster for the world economy.

xenix 03-02-2020 02:57 PM

Re: Corona Virus
 
Now its in india ,that too north part where its heavily populated lets pray for India

phaz0rz 03-02-2020 05:44 PM

Re: Corona Virus
 
UPDATE : 3/2/20 - cases outside of China

https://i.postimg.cc/43sZt2xK/Untitled-1.png

1800 new confirmed cases today. South Korea has the most cases outside of China, with 4335. The US is now reporting 100 confirmed cases.

ebaystealth1974 03-02-2020 06:12 PM

Re: Corona Virus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by phaz0rz (Post 1074281)
UPDATE : 3/2/20 - cases outside of China

https://i.postimg.cc/43sZt2xK/Untitled-1.png

1800 new confirmed cases today. South Korea has the most cases outside of China, with 4335. The US is now reporting 100 confirmed cases.

The good thing about the graph in the last few days is that it's pretty linear.(a little more each day). Versus exponential growth!(1k 2k 4k 8k 16k and so on...)

phaz0rz 03-02-2020 08:43 PM

Re: Corona Virus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by agent006140 (Post 1074291)
Iran is catching up !
I dont think these numbers are accurate/

They've never been very accurate but they're all we have to go by, lol. :violin:

I think there is way more than 100 cases in the US, for starters. Then there's NK which hasn't reported anything, Japan which had their numbers mysteriously stall, China which has likely been lying all along.. etc.

Keeping the economy going is most important. :pop2:

walkingupwards 03-02-2020 09:23 PM

Re: Corona Virus
 
Labs in the US will begin testing very soon so numbers will start jumping in the next 2 weeks.

New cases in China have plateaued, hopefully that is the case and not just China trying to calm the world down.

walkingupwards 03-03-2020 05:15 AM

Re: Corona Virus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by agent006140 (Post 1074333)
UK is asking all schools to close,I think they mean london.
F5 Technology is shutting down the entire building.
An article on how South Korean get infected -there is this church that one joined so they will iive foreever,you go to the basement and sit on your knees with 1000 members ,afterwards you have to bring in new members,so you go out and recruit them



Religion is a weird thing indeed :pop2:

ukjay 03-03-2020 08:27 AM

Re: Corona Virus
 
Hey just wash your hands a lot and it will be ok hmmm!

rsot 03-03-2020 08:29 AM

Re: Corona Virus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by agent006140 (Post 1074333)
UK is asking all schools to close,I think they mean london.
F5 Technology is shutting down the entire building.
An article on how South Korean get infected -there is this church that one joined so they will iive foreever,you go to the basement and sit on your knees with 1000 members ,afterwards you have to bring in new members,so you go out and recruit them

Careful on this without source :)

ebaystealth1974 03-03-2020 11:09 AM

Re: Corona Virus
 
The Flu is/was so bad in parts of Kentucky, that several school districts shut down. Not sure if they've opened back up yet.


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